Thursday, March 17, 2011

When would the thriller end in Group B?

Chennai,

18/01/2011



World Cup 2011, the final four from Group B is to be decided in the last league match of the tournament. If the last played match in Group B between England and West Indies on 17/03 was won by West Indies there would not be any problem. Now I'll discuss the possibilities!



If Bangladesh is to Exit

This is the simplest of all, if BAN is going to lose against South Africa they'll make their way out from World Cup.



If West Indies is to Exit

This is next possible if BAN wins SA, and India wins West Indies they are out with 6pts while team ahead of them will have 7pts and 8pts.



If England to Exit

This is next in list, If BAN wins over SA. If Ind Vs WI match ends with WI winning by small or moderate margin.



If India to Exit

The most impossible to happen thats why I say India is already qualified! After BAN wins SA, WI must achieve a target over 250runs in 25 overs or target over 300runs in 30 overs. If India is going to chase West Indies have to bowl out IND and win by a difference of 150runs.



With South Africa begin the only team which had comfortably qualified they hold the first key. The next key is with Virtually qualified India. I expect the last four to be: South Africa, India, England, West India (if higher rated team wins lower kind, since BAN is having -ve run rate and WI is having run rate more than +2 which is immpossible to get down in a match